THE CRUCIBLE

The Ominious Beat of Distant War Drums Beats ever Louder

Philistine FlagWhat is happening to Israel can be described as a crucible, a metallurgical term for a  container for a heat-resistant container in which ores or metals are melted and impurities are removed.  It is also metaphorically a severe trial, ordeal or place or set of circumstances where people or things are subjected to forces that test them and often make them change.  And change is what Israel must do.  It is confronted by a changing world around it, who see (incorrectly) Israel as a stumbling block to peace or some diseased organism that must be removed from the landscape.  The war drums are beating louder and loader.  The Muslim world is erupting throughout the Middle East.  Egypt regularly incites it’s people to murder Jews and Israeli’s.  Iran is a growing nuclear threat, that must be dealt with quickly.  Hamas seeing that it’s Syrian sponsor may not be in power much longer is trying to make peace with Fatah in a last ditch attempt to establish a Philistine state and ultimately destroy Israel.  In a few days the PA will try to push the UN into announcing a new terrorist state in Israel’s backyard.  And now Turkey is threatening Israel militarily.

In what can only be described as a deliberate attempt to bring about a confrontation with the Jewish state, the Erdogan government sharply ratcheted up its threat of war on Israel Monday, Sept. 12 with a report that three Turkish Navy frigates are to sail for the eastern Mediterranean “to ensure freedom of navigation and confront Israeli warships if necessary.”
Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan : “If Turkish warships encounter an Israeli military ship outside Israel’s 12-mile territorial waters, they will advance up to 100 meters from the ship and disable its weapon system.”


The threat bluntly applied to Israel’s naval enforcement of its UN-approved blockade of the Gaza Strip. Debkafile’s military sources report that this is more than a threat of belligerence against Israeli naval shipping; it is also an attempt to dictate the terms of its threatened military engagement at sea with Israel and arbitrarily lay down the outer limits of Israel’s territorial waters. One of its goals is to deprive Israel’s deep sea gas wells of naval protection. [Source – Debkafile.com]

Comparing Naval Forces

Submarine Force

Turkey (Total 14 + AIP Subs will be
constructed in Turkey)

4 X Gür class Type 209T2/1400
4 X Preveze
class Type 209T1/1400
6 X Atlay class Type 209/1200

Israel (Total 3 + 3 additional AIP subs ordered,delivery of
first 2 scheduled for 2011&2012)

3 X Dolphin class submarine /
Type 800 (Similar to Type 209)

Frigates

Turkey (Total 17 in service )

2
X Salihreis class (MEKO 200 TN IIB) frigate
2 X Barbaros class (MEKO 200 TN
IIA) frigate
4 X Yavuz class (MEKO 200 TN I) frigate
8 X G class
(Ex-Oliver Hazard Perry class) frigate (under GENESIS modernization project,some
of them are already modernized)
1 X Tepe class (Ex-Knox class) frigate
(other 7 ships of this class retired)

Israel (Total “0”)

Corvettes

Turkey (Total 7 + 7 Stealth Turkish
built Corvettes’re under constructions)

6 X B class (D’Estienne
d’Orves class A-69 type Aviso) corvette
1 X Ada class Stealth corvette (a
total of 8 will be built as part of the Milgem project)

Israel
(Total 3)

3 X Sa’ar 5-class corvettes

Fast
attack craft and missile boat

Turkey (Total 27 in Service)

6 X Klç II class fast attack craft / missile boat
3 X Klç class
fast attack craft / missile boat
2 X Yldz class fast attack craft / missile
boat
4 X Rüzgar class fast attack craft / missile boat
4 X Doan class
fast attack craft / missile boat
8 X Kartal class fast attack craft /
missile boat

Israel (Total 10)

8 X Sa’ar 4.5
class missile boat
2 X Sa’ar 4 class missile boat

It appears that Turkey is facing off with Israel to position itself as the lead Islamic nation against Israel, a position coveted by Iran.  Turkey, if one remembers their history was once the Islamic Ottoman empire and place of the Khalifah (Caliphate).  Are the unified Muslim hordes set to begin to march again?  We could yet see the march of the army of the Black Flags, but that may yet be some time off, God permitting.

While this information appears to give Turkey a somewhat upper hand, and the number of submarines currently active in Israeli inventory may seem small, but the Dolphin class submarines are indeed very formidable platforms.  There are no guarantee’s in war, and the IDF has shown itself to be very resilient and formidable.  Plus the will of HaShem adds a certain bit of uncertainty to Turkey’s chances of overcoming Israel’s naval forces.

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